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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 1/25/2025

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers

 
 
 
Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-170/+135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -170.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Pacers have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this contest from squaring off against the 6th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Aaron Nesmith has put up 0.4 assists per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 17th percentile -- one of the worst in the league by this standard.
  • Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 2.8 fouls per game when playing on the road this year.
  • The Indiana Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
  • Aaron Nesmith should suffer a reduction in efficiency in all stat categories considering playing on the visting team in this contest.

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