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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 4/14/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Atlanta Hawks

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 32.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace-of-play in the league as the home team this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 4th-quickest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which ought to boost plays for the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player performance in all stat categories.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 97th percentile for personal fouls, compiling an enormous 3.1 fouls per game while on his home court this year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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