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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 4/12/2024

Cleveland Cavaliers vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.1 more than he's posted overall this year on the road.

The 2nd-fastest pace-of-play offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, putting him among the most-whistled players in the league (100th percentile).

The Cavaliers have played at the most sluggish tempo in the league over the last 5 games at home, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith stands to see a decline in effectiveness across the board in light of playing on the visting team in this contest.

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