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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 3/12/2024

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 2.2 assists per game over the last 15 games, 0.8 more than he's posted over the course of the season.

The 2nd-quickest pace offense in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have played at the 6th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games with the home court advantage, which ought to boost possessions for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.3 fouls per game this year.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith ought to see a decline in productivity across the board in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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