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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-160).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -155 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has put up 2.6 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.2 more than he's put up in all games this season.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 7.2 higher than he's tallied in all games this year on the road.

The 2nd-speediest tempo team in the league this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith rates in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a massive 3.4 fouls per game this year.

The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA in their home stadium this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.

Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 1stworst in in the NBA with only 6.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (12.4) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith ought to experience a decrease in effectiveness for all stats due to playing on the visting team in this game.

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