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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 2/12/2024

Charlotte Hornets vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-155).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has compiled 2.8 assists per game over the last 10 games, 1.4 more than he's compiled overall this year.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 33.8 minutes per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 6.1 higher than he's averaged overall this year on the road.

The Pacers have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.

The Hornets have given up the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.4 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (99th percentile).

The Pacers are expected to see a decline in possessions in this contest from sharing the court with the 7th-most lethargic pace-of-play home offense in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Hornets).

The Indiana Pacers have been the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to reduce stat production in all facets of the game.

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