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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 2/10/2024

New York Knicks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+126/-174).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -157 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -174.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 3.0 assists per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.6 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 33.2 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.2 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the league this year.

While on their home court, the Knicks have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (8.2) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the league, Aaron Nesmith measures in the 99th percentile for personal fouls, tallying a whopping 3.4 fouls per game this year.

The New York Knicks have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league with the home court advantage this year, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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