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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 1/30/2024

Boston Celtics vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+100/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +155 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 2.6 assists per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 more than he's tallied over the course of the year.

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 32.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.

The speediest tempo visiting offense in the league over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about bonus chances for scoring and assists, and the Indiana Pacers rank 3rdbest in in the NBA with 13.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (99th percentile).

The Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions today from competing against the 4th-slowest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 20 games (the Celtics).

Over the last 10 games when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have collected 12.2 offensive rebounds per game (3rd-highest in the league) against the Boston Celtics (maintaining possessions that can lead to further chances for offense).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium generally reduces stat production in all facets of the game.

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