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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 1/26/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Phoenix Suns

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+160/-200).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +160 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +160.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The speediest tempo home team in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers are expected to get a boost in opportunities today from facing the 9th-speediest tempo offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).

Aaron Nesmith will likely see a spike in effectiveness across the board considering holding the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game with the home court advantage this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- among the league's highest-fouling.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and result in added opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 5thworst in in the NBA as the home team with a mere 9.5 offensive rebounds per game this year.

While playing on the road, the Phoenix Suns have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (12.0) in the NBA to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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