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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 1/6/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Boston Celtics

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+115/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The quickest pace home team in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith figures to see an increase in output in all stat categories considering owning the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith comes in at the 94th percentile for personal fouls, totaling a whopping 2.9 fouls per game while playing at home this year.

The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a drop-off in possessions today from squaring off against the 8th-most sluggish pace visiting offense in the NBA this year (the Boston Celtics).

Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about further chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA playing at home with just 8.5 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.

Over the last 10 games, opposing clubs have nabbed 12.5 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Celtics (preserving possessions that can bring about extra opportunities for offense).

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