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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 1/3/2024

Indiana Pacers vs Milwaukee Bucks

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has been on the court for 30.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 4.5 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

The Pacers have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from squaring off against the 2nd-fastest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually raises player production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has tallied 4.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied in all games this season.

Offensive rebounds retain possession and bring about further opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the league playing at home with only 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

The Milwaukee Bucks have given up the 3rd-most offensive boards per game (11.8) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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