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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 12/20/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-190/+150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +160 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.

Aaron Nesmith will hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage usually increases player production across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Nesmith places in the 94th percentile for personal fouls, registering a colossal 3.0 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers.

The Hornets have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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