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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 12/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs LA Clippers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-180/+145).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -170 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -180.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The quickest tempo offense in the league this year has been the Pacers.

Aaron Nesmith will enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court usually increases player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 3.0 personal fouls per game while at home this year, ranking in the 93rd percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The LA Clippers have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace in the NBA without the home court advantage this year, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Pacers.

Offensive rebounds save possession and spark more chances for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 6thworst in in the league with only 10.1 offensive rebounds per game this year.

The Clippers have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (11.6) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

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