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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 11/21/2023

Atlanta Hawks vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+135/-175).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -225 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +135.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest tempo in the league when playing at home this year.

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 6th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA on the road this year, which should increase plays for the Pacers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 2.9 personal fouls per game this year, ranking him as one of the highest-fouling players in the league (88th percentile).

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers rank 8thworst in in the NBA with just 9.3 offensive boards per game this year.

Away from home, the Hawks have allowed the 10th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to worsen player production across the board.

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