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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 3/18/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Philadelphia 76ers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has been called for 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the lowest-fouling players in the league (22nd percentile).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 5 games.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing at home tends to boosts stat production for all stats.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has totaled 0.4 assists per game this year, putting him among the worst players in the NBA by this metric: 13th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 8.9 minutes per game this year, some of the lowest playing time of any player in the league: 12th percentile.

The 76ers have played at the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Pacers.

Without the home court advantage, the 76ers have given up the 6th-most offensive rebounds per game (11.8) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).

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