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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 3/9/2023

Indiana Pacers vs Houston Rockets

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-227/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -222 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -227.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Nesmith has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the NBA (22nd percentile).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.

The Rockets have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace in the NBA this year, which should lead to more plays for the Pacers.

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Nesmith will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player performance across the board.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has posted 0.4 assists per game this year, putting him in the company of the worst players in the league by this metric: 13th percentile.

Aaron Nesmith has averaged 8.9 minutes per game this year, putting him among the least-used players in the NBA: 12th percentile.

The Rockets have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to their opposition over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added chances for scoring and assists).

More Aaron Nesmith Player Props

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