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Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith Assists
Player Prop - 1/25/2023

Orlando Magic vs Indiana Pacers

Aaron Nesmith Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-105/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (which can also produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Indiana Pacers have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace in the league over the last 10 games.

The Magic have given up the 3rd-most offensive rebounds per game (8.8) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 10 games playing at home (which can also provide new opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Nesmith has committed 3.3 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most foul-prone players in the NBA (97th percentile).

The Pacers have played at the 7th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 20 games at home, which should decrease plays for the Magic.

Aaron Nesmith will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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