Aaron Gordon Steals - Player Prop Bet 1/7/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Steals

Denver Nuggets vs Detroit Pistons · Jan 7, 2024

Updated Jan 8, 2024 1:03 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Steals Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-240/+180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -235 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -240.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has averaged 1.1 steals per game on his home court this year, ranking in the 86th percentile -- among the best in the league by this metric.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 32.0 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 83rd percentile.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from competing against the 5th-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 20 games (the Pistons).
Aaron Gordon will have the home court advantage in this game. Playing on your home court generally increases stat production across the board.

Favors Under

The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Nuggets.

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