Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Memphis Grizzlies · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 12:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-145/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has tallied 35.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's tallied over the course of the season.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA this year.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in possessions today from facing the speediest pace offense in the NBA this year (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Aaron Gordon stands to get a boost in productivity in all stat categories on account of owning the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has tallied a mere 1.5 offensive rebounds per game this season, quite a bit less than his 2.5 offensive rebounds per game last season.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate further chances for scoring and assists).

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