Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 4/9/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 9, 2025

Updated Apr 10, 2025 2:29 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ -100 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has averaged 1.8 offensive boards per game this year on the road, putting him among the league's best by this metric in recent games: 86th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 5.9 higher than he's played over the course of the season on the road.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-fastest pace-of-play in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 12.1 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's tallied overall this year.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to suffer a reduction in plays in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-most lethargic tempo team in the NBA over the last 25 games (the Sacramento Kings).
Aaron Gordon figures to experience a decrease in output in all facets of the game due to playing away from home in this game.

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