Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/19/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Los Angeles Lakers vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 19, 2025

Updated Mar 20, 2025 1:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-154/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +100 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -154.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.5 more than he's tallied over the course of the year on the road.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace team in the NBA this year has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Nuggets have been the 6th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games without the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has tallied just 26.9 minutes per game this season, quite a bit less than his 32.3 minutes per game last season.
The Los Angeles Lakers have played at the 7th-slowest pace in the league over the last 15 games on their home court, which ought to reduce plays for the Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage usually decreases player performance for all stats.

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