Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/17/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets · Mar 17, 2025

Updated Mar 18, 2025 2:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-105/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has averaged 1.8 offensive rebounds per game while playing away from home this year, ranking him in the 86th percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
The 6th-most up-tempo tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and lead to further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the NBA while on the road with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has played just 26.9 minutes per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 32.3 minutes per game last season.
Aaron Gordon will not have the home court advantage in this game. Playing without the home court advantage tends to lower player production across the board.

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