Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/19/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Jan 19, 2025

Updated Jan 19, 2025 9:24 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -147 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +104.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has averaged 2.0 offensive boards per game while on the road this year, placing him in the 91st percentile -- among the league's best by this metric.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 3rd-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games without the home court advantage.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should decrease opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally lowers player production across the board.

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