Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/16/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 16, 2024

Updated May 16, 2024 10:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-105/-127).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +112 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has compiled 2.6 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, ranking him among the NBA's leaders by this metric over this stretch of games: 96th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 5.3 higher than he's averaged overall this season.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 8th-best in the league while playing on the road with 11.2 offensive boards per game this year.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's accumulated overall this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer opportunities for the Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases stat production in all stat categories.

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