Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/14/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Minnesota Timberwolves · May 14, 2024

Updated May 15, 2024 2:17 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+124/-148).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -142 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +124.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has posted 3.6 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.4 more than he's posted in all games this season at home.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 36.7 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 4.5 more than he's been on the court for in all games this season.
Aaron Gordon will enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing in your home stadium generally increases player performance for all stats.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 higher than he's accumulated over the course of the year.
The 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Timberwolves have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

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