Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 5/10/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · May 10, 2024

Updated May 11, 2024 3:02 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -165 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has posted 2.7 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, ranking him among the league leaders by this metric in recent days: 96th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 7.0 higher than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games as the visting team.
The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Timberwolves have played at the 5th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Denver Nuggets.
Aaron Gordon will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city usually lowers player production in all stat categories.

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