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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/19/2024

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-104/-129).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -139 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -104.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has compiled 2.4 offensive boards per game when playing away from home this year, ranking in the 95th percentile -- among the NBA's best in this category.

Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon places in the 83rd percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.4 minutes per game this year.

The Nuggets have been the 7th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league while on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 0.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season on the road.

The 2nd-slowest pace-of-play away offense in the league over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.

The Timberwolves have played at the 6th-most lethargic pace in the NBA this year, which ought to lead to decreased opportunities for the Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city generally worsens player production for all stats.

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