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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 3/13/2024

Miami Heat vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -150 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has posted 2.6 offensive boards per game while playing on the road this year, putting him in the 96th percentile -- one of the best in the league by this metric.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a massive 31.4 minutes per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Nuggets have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 25 games as the road team.

The Miami Heat have played at the 3rd-slowest pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should decrease plays for the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 8th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.

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