Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Toronto Raptors · Mar 11, 2024

Updated Mar 12, 2024 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet down to 6.5 @ -145.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has totaled 2.4 offensive rebounds per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 30.3 minutes per game when playing at home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a rise in possessions today from being pitted against the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo team in the league over the last 10 games (the Toronto Raptors).
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets rank 10th-best in in the league with 10.9 offensive rebounds per game over the last 25 games.
Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on your home court generally raises stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has committed 2.7 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games while playing at home, 0.9 more than he's committed over the course of the season at home.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year.

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