Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2024

Updated Mar 10, 2024 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+220/-300).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +220.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has put up 2.4 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 94th percentile.
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 5th-quickest pace offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Jazz).
The Nuggets rank as the 9th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing on your home court tends to boost player production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has averaged 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.1 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA this year.

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