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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/14/2024

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 2.5 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the NBA by this standard: 95th percentile.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon measures in the 79th percentile for playing time, registering a whopping 30.7 minutes per game with the home court advantage this year.

The Kings have played at the 2nd-speediest tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home stadium, which should increase possessions for the Nuggets.

The Sacramento Kings have given up the least offensive boards per game (9.0) in the league to opposing teams this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).

Aaron Gordon should see an increase in productivity across the board as a result of controlling the home court advantage in this game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 1.1 higher than he's tallied overall this year at home.

The slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games while on their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer chances for scoring and assists).

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