Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/12/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Milwaukee Bucks vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 12, 2024

Updated Feb 13, 2024 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-137/-137).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -137 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has tallied 2.7 offensive rebounds per game this year on the road, placing him among the best in the league by this standard over this stretch: 96th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 31.8 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-used players in the league: 84th percentile.
The Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 3rd-fastest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 15 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and create further chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets grade out 3rdbest in in the NBA with 12.4 offensive boards per game over the last 10 games.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has tallied 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 10 games, 0.1 more than he's tallied overall this year.
The most sluggish pace team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Nuggets.
Over the last 25 games when they are on the road, the other team has come down with 11.7 offensive rebounds per game (7th-highest in the league) vs. the Milwaukee Bucks (lengthening possessions that can bring about additional opportunities for offense).
Aaron Gordon will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home stadium tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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