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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Rebounds
Player Prop - 2/9/2024

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -108 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -108.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has compiled 5.0 defensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing on the road, 1.3 higher than he's compiled over the course of the year on the road.

Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, totaling a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year.

The Denver Nuggets will likely see a spike in plays today from sharing the court with the 2nd-speediest pace offense in the league over the last 5 games (the Sacramento Kings).

The Denver Nuggets rank as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This year, the other team has come down with 9.1 offensive boards per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has averaged 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's averaged in all games this season.

The Nuggets have played at the most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.

Aaron Gordon will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing on the road tends to worsen player production across the board.

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