Aaron Gordon Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2024

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Rebounds

Denver Nuggets vs Philadelphia 76ers · Jan 27, 2024

Updated Jan 28, 2024 3:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has posted 2.6 offensive boards per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league in this category: 95th percentile.
Aaron Gordon has played 31.2 minutes per game at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Aaron Gordon will enjoy the home court advantage in this contest. Playing with the home court advantage generally raises player production for all stats.

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's been called for in all games this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 2nd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The 76ers have played at the 10th-least up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
Over the last 15 games, opposing clubs have captured 13.3 offensive rebounds per game (most in the NBA) vs. the 76ers (continuing possessions that can spark bonus opportunities for offense).

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