Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 3/6/2026

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks · Mar 6, 2026

Updated Mar 7, 2026 1:59 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-107/-127).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -108 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -127.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have shot 47.7% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Knicks, creating a good matchup.
The matchup against the New York Knicks may be a strong one for getting to the free-throw line; the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted an enormous 5.2 free throws per game over the last 5 games (5th-most in the league).

Favors Under

The 3rd-most lethargic pace home team in the league over the last 15 games has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Knicks have played at the 5th-most lethargic pace in the league over the last 25 games, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Nuggets rank 3rdworst in in the league while on their home court with only 8.7 offensive boards per game over the last 20 games.

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