Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/11/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets · Nov 11, 2025

Updated Nov 12, 2025 3:50 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 17.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

With respect to offense, the Denver Nuggets's stellar 124.2 points per game rates 2nd-best in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings is a positive one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 6th-highest field goal rate in the NBA this year (52.6%).
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Nuggets.

Favors Under

As it relates to shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive offense in the NBA while on the road since the start of last season has been the Denver Nuggets.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-least up-tempo pace in the league as the road team this year.
The matchup against the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for getting to the charity stripe; opposing starting PFs have attempted a measly 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the league).

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