Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/7/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors · Nov 7, 2025

Updated Nov 8, 2025 3:34 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets's impressive 126.8 points per game at home rates 3rd-most in the NBA this year.
The matchup vs. the Warriors is a positive one for shots from the field; the opposing team's starting PFs have averaged the 5th-most shot attempts per game in the league this year (14.4).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-speediest tempo in the league when playing at home this year.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 9 games, which ought to raise possessions for the Denver Nuggets.
The matchup vs. Golden State is a strong one for getting to the charity stripe; the opposition's starting PFs have attempted a colossal 4.9 free throws per game this year when the Golden State Warriors are away from home (8th-most in the league).

Favors Under

In terms of three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Denver Nuggets.

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