Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/5/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Miami Heat · Nov 5, 2025

Updated Nov 6, 2025 2:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+100/-102).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of offense, the Nuggets's terrific 121.6 points per game on their home court rates 2nd-highest in the league since the start of last season.
This year, opposing starting PFs have shot 43.4% on 3-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) against the Miami Heat, identifying this as a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA since the start of last season as it relates to 3-point attempts.
Over the last 10 games, the opposition's starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the league) vs. the Heat, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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