Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 11/3/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Sacramento Kings · Nov 3, 2025

Updated Nov 3, 2025 11:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In terms of scoring, the Nuggets's terrific 121.4 points per game on their home court rates 3rd-strongest in the league since the start of last season.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 52.6% on field goals (6th-best in the league) vs. the Kings, creating a favorable matchup.

Favors Under

The Nuggets have played at the 8th-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Denver Nuggets check in as the 10th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Sacramento Kings may be a tough one for drawing fouls; opposing starting PFs have attempted a mere 2.4 foul shots per game over the last 20 games (least in the NBA).

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