Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 10/27/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Denver Nuggets · Oct 27, 2025

Updated Oct 28, 2025 1:32 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-275/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ +205 before it was bet down to 12.5 @ +200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Nuggets have been the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA since the start of last season.

Favors Under

As it relates to shots from behind the three-point arc, the least aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.
This year, the other team's starting PFs have put up 14.5 points per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, designating this as a difficult matchup for offensive effectiveness.
The Minnesota Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA at home since the start of last season, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Denver Nuggets.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the NBA) vs. the Minnesota Timberwolves, struggling to get to the free-throw line.

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