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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 10/23/2025

Golden State Warriors vs Denver Nuggets

 
 
 
Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-260/+190).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -240 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -260.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Among all players in the league, Aaron Gordon places in the 95th percentile for three-point effectiveness with a great 41.4% rate since the start of last season.
  • Among all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon rates in the 79th percentile for playing time, compiling a whopping 30.3 minutes per game since the start of last season.
  • The matchup vs. Golden State is a good one for shot attempts from the field; when the Warriors are on their home court, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 2nd-most FG attempts per game in the NBA this year (15.8).
  • Offensive rebounds save possession and generate added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 10th-best in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive rebounds per game since the start of last season.
  • Aaron Gordon has made 2.9 free throws per game since the start of last season, ranking in the 84th percentile among all players in the league.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • In terms of shot attempts from beyond the arc, the least aggressive team in the NBA since the start of last season has been the Nuggets.
  • This year when they are away from home, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.1 free throws per game (9th-fewest in the league) against the Golden State Warriors, struggling to get to the charity stripe.
  • Aaron Gordon ought to see a decline in productivity across the board considering playing away from home in this matchup.

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