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Aaron Gordon

Aaron Gordon Points
Player Prop - 5/13/2025

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Aaron Gordon has made 6.8 buckets per game over the last 15 games, 1.4 higher than he's sunk over the course of the season.

Compared to last season's 26.9% rate, Aaron Gordon's three-point prowess has surged this season to 42.1%.

Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 37.3 minutes per game over the last 15 games, 7.1 higher than he's been on the court for overall this year.

The Denver Nuggets are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from competing against the quickest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Thunder).

The Denver Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Aaron Gordon has accumulated 2.9 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.1 more than he's accumulated overall this season.

The Denver Nuggets check in as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in terms of 3-point attempts.

The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a difficult one for field goals; the opposing team's starting PFs have compiled the 8th-lowest field goal percentage in the league this year (46.3%).

The 7th-slowest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games has been the Denver Nuggets.

Aaron Gordon will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home city generally worsens stat production across the board.

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