Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/9/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Oklahoma City Thunder · May 9, 2025

Updated May 10, 2025 2:09 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has tallied 23.4 points per game over the last 5 games at home, 8.3 higher than he's tallied in all games this season at home.
Aaron Gordon has converted a terrific 41.7% of his three-point attempts this season, significantly higher than his 26.9 mark last season.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 9.4 higher than he's averaged in all games this season at home.
The Denver Nuggets will likely see an increase in possessions in this game from competing against the most up-tempo pace offense in the league over the last 15 games (the Thunder).
The Nuggets check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Denver Nuggets have been the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of shot attempts from downtown.
The matchup vs. Oklahoma is a challenging one; when the Thunder are on the road, they have given up the 3rd-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs over the last 5 games (11.0).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games.

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