Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/5/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets · May 5, 2025

Updated May 5, 2025 11:49 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+120/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 15.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ +120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has successfully made 7.8 buckets per game over the last 10 games, 2.4 higher than he's made over the course of the year.
In comparison to last season's 26.9% mark, Aaron Gordon's three-point effectiveness has jumped this season to 41.1%.
Aaron Gordon has tallied 37.5 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 7.8 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Thunder have played at the 2nd-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 15 games, which ought to increase plays for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets have been the 10th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA as the away team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has committed 3.2 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's committed over the course of the season.
In terms of shot attempts from downtown, the least aggressive team in the NBA this year has been the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the Oklahoma City Thunder is a hard one for scoring; the opposing team's starting PFs have shot for the 8th-lowest FG% in the league this year (46.3%).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games away from home.
Aaron Gordon will likely suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game as a result of being on the road in this game.

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