Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/3/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · May 3, 2025

Updated May 3, 2025 10:48 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+115/-150).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -150.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has averaged 20.0 points per game over the last 5 games when playing at home, 5.2 higher than he's averaged overall this season at home.
Compared to last season's 26.9% clip, Aaron Gordon's 3-point efficiency has increased this season to 41.8%.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 9.2 more than he's been on the court for overall this season at home.
With respect to offense, the Nuggets's exceptional 123.5 points per game when playing at home rates 2nd-strongest in the league over the last 25 games.
Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.0 free throws per game over the last 5 games while on his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted overall this year at home.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Clippers is a tough one for 3-point shots; the other team's starting PFs have posted the 2nd-lowest three rate in the league this year (27.2%).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games away from their home city, which should decrease opportunities for the Nuggets.
Offensive rebounds save possession and lead to extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Denver Nuggets grade out 10thworst in in the league with a mere 10.5 offensive boards per game over the last 15 games.

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