Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 5/1/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · May 1, 2025

Updated May 2, 2025 12:58 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 13.5 @ -128 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Relative to last year's 26.9% clip, Aaron Gordon's three-point efficiency has jumped this year to 42.3%.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 39.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 9.9 more than he's averaged over the course of the season.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and create added chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 9th-best in in the NBA with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Aaron Gordon has made 4.6 foul shots per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's sunk overall this year.
The matchup against the LA Clippers is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a whopping 4.1 free throws per game this year (9th-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Aaron Gordon has tallied 3.0 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's tallied overall this season.
The Denver Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The matchup against Los Angeles is a difficult one for 3-point shots; when the Clippers are at home, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged the least three-point shots per game in the NBA this year (0.9).
The 4th-slowest pace away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.
The Nuggets are expected to suffer a drop-off in opportunities today from facing the 2nd-slowest pace-of-play offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the LA Clippers).

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