Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/29/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 29, 2025

Updated Apr 30, 2025 2:28 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-132/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has averaged 21.0 points per game over the last 5 games, 6.2 higher than he's averaged over the course of the year.
Aaron Gordon has sunk an impressive 42.1% of his shots from behind the three-point arc this year, a big improvement over his 26.9 rate last year.
Aaron Gordon has been on the court for 41.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 11.5 more than he's been on the court for over the course of the year at home.
Offensive rebounds save possession and create more chances for scoring and assists, and the Nuggets rank 7th-best in in the league while at home with 12.2 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Aaron Gordon has attempted 6.2 foul shots per game over the last 5 games while at home, 2.5 more than he's attempted over the course of the year at home.

Favors Under

As it relates to three-point attempts, the least aggressive team in the league this year has been the Nuggets.
The matchup vs. the LA Clippers is a challenging one for three-point shots; opposing starting PFs have shot for the 2nd-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (27.2%).
The Nuggets have played at the 7th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
The Clippers have played at the slowest pace in the league over the last 5 games, which ought to reduce possessions for the Nuggets.

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