Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/24/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

LA Clippers vs Denver Nuggets · Apr 24, 2025

Updated Apr 25, 2025 1:38 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-113/-113).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 14.5 @ -112 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -113.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last season's 26.9% clip, Aaron Gordon's three-point efficiency has spiked this season to 42.2%.
Aaron Gordon has averaged 37.2 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 8.3 more than he's averaged in all games this season.
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and generate further opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Denver Nuggets grade out 7th-best in in the NBA as the away team with 11.9 offensive boards per game over the last 25 games.
Aaron Gordon has made 4.8 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.9 more than he's put through the net over the course of the season away from home.
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.1 foul shots per game (9th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, easily managing to get to the free-throw line.

Favors Under

The Nuggets rank as the least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-point attempts.
The matchup vs. Los Angeles is a hard one for 3-point shots; when the LA Clippers are at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have tallied the least three-point shots per game in the league this year (0.9).
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games while playing away from home.
The Denver Nuggets are expected to experience a decrease in possessions in this game from sharing the court with the 2nd-most sluggish pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the LA Clippers).
Aaron Gordon stands to suffer a drop-off in efficiency for all stats due to playing away from home in this game.

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