Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/21/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 21, 2025

Updated Apr 22, 2025 1:48 AM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 14.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has converted 7.8 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's put through the hoop in all games this year.
Aaron Gordon has sunk 49.1% of his three-pointers when playing at home this year, placing him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
Aaron Gordon has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 higher than he's played in all games this year.
The Nuggets check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league as the home team this year.
The Denver Nuggets have played at the 6th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA while playing at home this year.

Favors Under

This year, the other team's starting PFs have shot 27.2% on 3-pointers (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Clippers, marking this as a hard matchup.
The LA Clippers have played at the 2nd-slowest tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Nuggets.
The Nuggets check in as the 7th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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