Aaron Gordon Points - Player Prop Bet 4/19/2025

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Aaron Gordon

NBA · Player Props

Aaron Gordon

F · Denver Nuggets

Points

Denver Nuggets vs LA Clippers · Apr 19, 2025

Updated Apr 19, 2025 7:29 PM UTC

Analysis

Aaron Gordon Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 16.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Aaron Gordon has made 7.0 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games, 1.8 more than he's made over the course of the year.
Out of all players in the NBA, Aaron Gordon ranks in the 95th percentile for 3-point performance while at home with a very good 49.9% rate this year.
Aaron Gordon has played 34.0 minutes per game over the last 5 games, 5.6 more than he's played over the course of the year.
The Nuggets rank as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league while at home this year.
The 3rd-quickest pace home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Nuggets.

Favors Under

This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 27.2% on threes (2nd-lowest in the league) against the Clippers, making this a tough matchup.
The Nuggets will likely experience a decrease in opportunities in this contest from being pitted against the 3rd-slowest pace road offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Clippers).
The Nuggets have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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